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金力永磁稀土行情簡報(bào)201634期（總第150期）08-29~09-02

JL MAG Rare-earth Industry Price Briefing08-29~09-02

2016年第36周

Week 36, 2016

1.重要新聞簡報(bào)Briefing of Important News

本周稀土市場價格鐠釹價格小幅下跌，鏑鐵鋱價格相對穩(wěn)定。亞洲金屬網(wǎng)價格:鐠釹金屬318-323元/KG，鏑鐵合金價格1240-1270元/KG，鋱金屬價格3550-3650元/KG。

This week the price of PrNd has a slight decline while DyFe and Tb are relatively stable. The prices from Asian metal at the weekend present: PrNd is 318-323RMB/KG, DyFe is 1240-1270RMB/KG and Tb is 3550-3650RMB/KG.

多倫多，加拿大，2016年8月31日（全球新聞專線）-- Molycorp，Inc., 及其附屬企業(yè)（統(tǒng)稱為“Molycorp"），今天宣布關(guān)于重組的第四次聯(lián)合修正案在2016年8月31日正式生效。Molycorp，Inc. 已經(jīng)脫離破產(chǎn)法案的保護(hù)。重組之后的新公司被命名為Neo Performance Materials。在世界范圍內(nèi)，公司擁有代表水平的制造和加工工廠，可以依照客戶具挑戰(zhàn)的產(chǎn)品要求生產(chǎn)一些高性能的以稀土和稀有金屬為基礎(chǔ)的工業(yè)材料。公司重組為三個業(yè)務(wù)單元：Neo 化學(xué)和氧化物、Neo 麥格昆磁和Neo 稀有金屬。業(yè)務(wù)的銷售和生產(chǎn)分布10余個國家，包括日本、中國、泰國、愛沙尼亞、新加坡、德國、英國、加拿大、美國以及韓國等。

Toronto, Canada, 31st Aug.2016(Global Newswire)—Molycorp Inc. and its subsidiary enterprise(collectively known as Molycorp)declared today that the fourth joint amendment about restructuring would take effect on August 31, 2016. Molycorp Inc. has been out of the Bankruptcy Legislation protection. The new company after restructuring is called Neo Performance Materials. In the world, the company has the most advanced manufacturing and processing factory, which can go by the requirements of customer's most challenging products produce high performance industry material on the basis of rare earth and rare metal. There are three business units for the restructuring company: Neo Chemical and Oxide, Neo Magnequench and Neo Rare Metal. Business are distributed to more than 10 countries including Japan, China, Thailand, Estonia, Singapore, Germany, England, Canada, America, Korea, etc.

2.業(yè)內(nèi)人士分析Analysis of Professional Insiders

據(jù)悉，稀土國儲招標(biāo)會議準(zhǔn)備工作已于日前啟動，正式會議預(yù)計(jì)將在近日召開。業(yè)內(nèi)人士認(rèn)為，僅靠需求難以支撐稀土價格，如果此次招標(biāo)成功將為疲軟的市場帶來利好。

It is reported that rare earth reserve bidding meeting preparation work has been started a few days ago and the formal meeting is expected to be held recently. The insiders think it is difficult to support the rare earth price only by demands; it will be good for the weak market if the bidding is succeed.

資料顯示，歷史上稀土己進(jìn)行過二次收儲，而收儲力度逐漸增加。2012年9月，稀土進(jìn)行一次收儲，本次收儲主要有氧化銪50噸、氧化釔1500噸、氧化鏑300噸、氧化鋱6噸。2014年8月稀土再次收儲，收儲總量為1萬噸，其中計(jì)劃收儲氧化鐠釹4000噸，氧化鏑1200噸，鋱50噸，銪500噸，釔2500噸，鉺300噸，镥90噸等，另商儲3000噸。

The data showed it has a second reserve for rare earth in the history and the strength is gradually increased. In September, 2012, it began the first rare earth reserve and the main products are 50t Eu oxide, 1,500t Yt oxide, 300t Dy oxide and 6t Tb oxide. The second rare earth reserve began in August, 2014 and the total volume is 10,000t, including planning to reserve 40,000t PrNd oxide, 1,200t Dy oxide, 50t Tb, 500t Eu, 2,500t Yt, 300t Er, 90t Lu, etc. and another 3,000 tons of storage.

華創(chuàng)證券分析表示，稀土作為戰(zhàn)略資源，隨著六大稀土集團(tuán)2016年6月底整合完畢、稀土打黑的快速推進(jìn)以及新一輪收儲預(yù)期的來臨，稀土價格有望回歸其合理的價值區(qū)間，預(yù)計(jì)將重回上升通道。參照前兩次收儲，預(yù)期2016-2018年稀土價格年均漲幅20%。

CRE securities analyzed that rare earth as a strategic resource, with the integration completion of the six rare earth group at the end of June 2016 and the rapid development of crackdown on illegal rare earth & the coming of new round reserve, rare earth price is expected to return to its reasonable value range and back to up ascending channel. According to the former two reserves, rare earth price is expected to increase 20% at an annual average from 2016 to 2018.

長城證券認(rèn)為，短期而言，稀土下游磁材需求處于淡季，終端庫存仍相對充裕，稀土產(chǎn)品價格暫沒有強(qiáng)有力的支撐，價格大幅向上突破較困難。中長期看，稀土收儲會議頻頻召開，國家在稀土收儲等方面的重視不斷加大將對低位的稀土價格形成預(yù)期支撐。同時，由于原礦價格有較強(qiáng)的成本支撐，稀土原料端價格向下空間并不大，一旦國儲再次成行，稀土價格反彈上漲機(jī)會明顯。

The Great Wall Securities believes that in the short term, the downstream demand of rare earth magnets in the off-season, terminal inventory is still relatively abundant, there is no strong support for the price of rare earth products, and prices are difficult to break up. In the long term, rare earth reserve meeting frequently held and national more attention to the rare earth reserve will be expected to form support for rare earth low price. At the same time, the ore price has stronger cost support, rare earth raw material prices downward space is not large, once national reserve again, the rising opportunity of rare earth prices rebound is significant.

3.趨勢圖（參考亞洲金屬網(wǎng)）Tendency Chart (refer to Asian Metal)

2016年09月02日

September 2nd, 2016

提示：以上信息僅供參考！

Notes: the information above is for reference only!