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金力永磁稀土行情簡(jiǎn)報(bào)201617期（總第133期）05-01~05-06

JL MAG Rare-Earth Industry Price Briefing 05-01~05-06

2016年19周

Week 19, 2016

1. 重要新聞簡(jiǎn)報(bào)Briefing of Important News

■.本周稀土市場(chǎng)金屬價(jià)格持續(xù)上漲。亞洲金屬網(wǎng)價(jià)格:鐠釹金屬333-338元/KG，鏑鐵合金價(jià)格1280-1310元/KG，鋱金屬價(jià)格3080-3180元/KG。

This week the price of rare earth metal keeps rising. Prices from Asian Metal at weekend present: PrNd: 333-338RMB/KG, DyFe: 1280-1310RMB/KG, Tb Metal: 3080-3180RMB/KG.

2. 業(yè)內(nèi)人士分析Analysis of Professional Insiders

今年以來(lái)，全國(guó)有色金屬價(jià)格出現(xiàn)較大幅度上漲。市場(chǎng)監(jiān)測(cè)數(shù)據(jù)顯示，2016年4月，全國(guó)大宗商品價(jià)格指數(shù)(CCPI)中，有色類比今年初上漲8.1%。進(jìn)入5月份后，全國(guó)有色金屬價(jià)格繼續(xù)高位運(yùn)行。重要有色金屬品種中，今年5月初與去年3季度低點(diǎn)相比，國(guó)內(nèi)期貨銅主力合約價(jià)格大約上漲15%，鎳價(jià)格大約上漲16%；鋁價(jià)格則上漲30%左右。國(guó)內(nèi)鎢精礦價(jià)格從去年12月底開始反彈，現(xiàn)今價(jià)格漲幅也接近3成。其它有色金屬及冶煉原料價(jià)格也都有程度不同上漲。預(yù)計(jì)今年全國(guó)主要有色金屬平均價(jià)格高出上年水平的概率越來(lái)愈大。

This year, the national non-ferrous metal prices rise significantly. Market monitoring data shows that in April 2016, non-ferrous from the China commodity price index (CCPI) has increased 8.1% compared to early this year. After entering in May, the national non-ferrous metal prices keep on a high level. Compared the prices of important non-ferrous metals from early may this year to the low point of third quarter last year, the main domestic copper futures contract price has risen about 15%, nickel about 16%, and aluminum 30%. Domestic concentrate tungsten price has rebounded since the end-December last year, its increase is now close to 30%. Other non-ferrous metals and smelting raw materials prices also have increase on different levels. It is expected that the average prices of main non-ferrous metals will be more and more probably higher than the previous year.

雖然此輪有色金屬價(jià)格漲勢(shì)有些猛烈，但總體來(lái)看，仍然屬于合理回歸。其依據(jù)主要有：一是價(jià)位超低反彈。推動(dòng)此輪有色金屬價(jià)格上漲的主要因素，在于前期價(jià)格下降過(guò)多，普遍跌破其中位成本，致使相關(guān)企業(yè)盈利急劇縮水，甚至出現(xiàn)嚴(yán)重虧損?！《侨匀粚儆跉v史相對(duì)低位。雖然今年以來(lái)有色金屬價(jià)格漲幅較大，但比去同期依然下降。

This round of non-ferrous metal price increase is quite swift, however, overall it is still a reasonable rebound. Main reasons: first it's a rebound at ultra-low point. The most important factor of this round price increase is because previous prices fell too much and are commonly below its average cost, which results sharp profit decrease at relevant companies, even with heavy losses; second prices are still at historical relative low point. Although since this year non-ferrous metal prices has a large increase, but still decline compared to the same period last year.

既然當(dāng)前及今后有色金屬價(jià)格，因?yàn)橥稒C(jī)旺盛而過(guò)快、過(guò)多上漲，不利于中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)，那么就需要我們?cè)趫?jiān)持經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)的同時(shí)，強(qiáng)化有色金屬市場(chǎng)運(yùn)行監(jiān)管，尤其是要抑制其中的投機(jī)炒作泡沫，防范其過(guò)快、過(guò)多地偏離合理水平。現(xiàn)在國(guó)內(nèi)監(jiān)管部門已經(jīng)出手，相關(guān)商品期貨交易所相繼出臺(tái)監(jiān)管和降溫措施，如提高交易手續(xù)費(fèi)、增加保證金、打擊高頻交易等，這些都是十分必要的。

Since the too fast and too much price increase of non-ferrous metals at present and in the future caused by speculation is not conducive to China's economy, we need to insist on a steady economic growth, and at the same time strengthen the non-ferrous metal market monitoring, especially to curb the speculation bubble, to prevent its too fast and too much deviation from reasonable level. Domestic regulators have stepped in and related commodity futures exchanges have issued regulations and cooling measures, such as raising transaction fees, increasing the margin, hit the high-frequency trading, etc., which are very necessary.

3.趨勢(shì)圖（參考亞洲金屬網(wǎng)）Tendency Chart (refer to Asian Metal)

2016年05月07日

May 07th, 2016

提示：以上信息僅供參考！

Notes: the information above is for reference only!